retirement

Retirement Planning in an Unpredictable World

Retirement planning has always involved uncertainty.

But over recent years, many people approaching retirement will have noticed something different, global events now seem to affect personal finances far more quickly and far more directly than they once did.

Inflation spikes, rising interest rates, market volatility, energy price shocks and geopolitical uncertainty have all become regular features of the financial landscape. For retirees and those nearing retirement, that can understandably create concern around one important question:

How do you make your money last?

Recent research from Morningstar explored exactly this issue, revisiting the widely discussed “4% withdrawal rule” and how retirees can sustainably draw income from investments during retirement.

The findings offer some useful reminders, particularly during periods of uncertainty.

The Challenge Facing Modern Retirees

One of the key themes in the research is that retirement planning today is not simply about investment growth.

It is also about managing uncertainty over potentially decades of retirement.

No one can predict with certainty:

  • how markets will perform;
  • how long inflation may remain elevated;
  • what interest rates will do; or
  • how long retirement itself may last.

According to Morningstar’s latest UK research, a withdrawal rate of around 4% still appears broadly sustainable for many retirees over a 30-year period, although this depends heavily on factors such as investment mix, inflation and flexibility in spending.

What is particularly interesting is that the research places increasing importance not just on returns, but on resilience and adaptability.

Why Inflation Matters More Than Ever

Inflation can quietly become one of the biggest risks to retirement income.

Even relatively moderate inflation can significantly reduce purchasing power over time. Recent years have demonstrated how quickly rising prices can affect everyday living costs, from energy bills and food prices through to travel and insurance costs.

Morningstar’s research highlights that inflation assumptions play a major role in determining sustainable retirement income levels.

For retirees relying on fixed withdrawals, periods of prolonged inflation can place additional pressure on portfolios, particularly if markets are also volatile at the same time.

This is one reason why retirement planning increasingly needs to be viewed as an ongoing process rather than a one-time calculation.

Flexibility Can Matter More Than Precision

One of the more reassuring takeaways from the research is that retirement planning does not need to rely on rigid rules alone.

In fact, flexibility may be one of the most valuable tools retirees have.

Morningstar’s analysis suggests that retirees who are willing to adjust spending during more difficult market periods can often withdraw more sustainably over the long term.

That does not necessarily mean dramatic lifestyle changes. More often, it simply means recognising that retirement income planning works best when it can adapt to changing conditions.

The reality is that retirement rarely follows a perfectly straight line. Markets fluctuate, priorities evolve and unexpected events inevitably occur along the way.

Balancing Stability and Growth

Another important theme is the balance between investment growth and stability.

The research notes that portfolios with lower levels of volatility can sometimes support more sustainable retirement income because large market falls early in retirement can have a lasting impact on long-term outcomes.

This is often referred to as “sequence of returns risk”, the danger of experiencing significant market declines in the early years of retirement while simultaneously drawing income from investments.

For many retirees, this reinforces the importance of diversification and maintaining a portfolio designed around both long-term growth and shorter-term resilience.

Financial Planning Beyond the Headlines

Periods of economic uncertainty can naturally lead people to focus on short-term headlines.

But retirement planning is ultimately about much longer time horizons.

The most effective plans are rarely based on trying to predict every market movement or global event correctly. Instead, they are usually built around creating enough flexibility, resilience and clarity to navigate uncertainty with confidence.

At Digby Associates, we believe good financial planning should provide reassurance as well as strategy, helping people make thoughtful, informed decisions even when the wider world feels unpredictable.

If you would like to review your retirement plans or discuss how current economic conditions may affect your long-term financial planning, our team would be very happy to help.

doomspending

What Doomspending Can Teach Us About Financial Planning

Most people have heard of doomscrolling.

The habit of endlessly consuming negative news, worrying headlines and social media updates can leave us feeling anxious, overwhelmed and uncertain about the future.

Increasingly, another term is entering the conversation: doomspending.

The phrase has grown in popularity over recent years as commentators and researchers have observed a trend of consumers spending money in response to economic uncertainty, rising living costs and concerns about the future.

But while the term may be new, the behaviour itself is not.

A Very Human Response

People have always spent money for reasons that go beyond practical need.

Whether it is comfort eating after a difficult day, booking a holiday during a stressful period, or buying something simply because it makes us feel better, spending has long been tied to emotion as much as logic.

What’s changed is the world around us.

We now carry online shops in our pockets, receive personalised advertising throughout the day and consume a constant stream of news and social media updates. Against that backdrop, it is perhaps unsurprising that spending can sometimes become a response to stress, uncertainty or anxiety.

In simple terms, doomspending describes the tendency to spend money in an attempt to regain a sense of control, comfort or enjoyment when the wider world feels uncertain.

Why Is It Happening Now?

Recent years have brought no shortage of reasons for people to feel unsettled.

The pandemic, inflation, rising energy bills, higher mortgage rates, geopolitical tensions and an increasingly relentless news cycle have all contributed to a backdrop of uncertainty for many households.

Research suggests economic uncertainty may be influencing spending habits. In the United States, where consumers have faced many of the same inflationary and economic pressures seen in the UK, a survey reported by Psychology Todayfound that 43% of millennials admitted to making purchases in response to concerns about the future, a behaviour that has become known as “doomspending”.

While the reasons vary, the underlying theme is often similar:

“If the future feels unpredictable, I may as well enjoy myself today.”

It’s a mindset many people can relate to, even if they don’t recognise it as doomspending.

The Psychology Behind It

One of the reasons doomspending can be so powerful is that it provides an immediate reward.

Making a purchase can trigger a release of dopamine, the brain chemical associated with pleasure and reward. For a brief moment, buying something can create a sense of satisfaction, control or relief.

The challenge is that those feelings are often temporary.

As Morgan Housel writes in The Psychology of Money:

“Doing well with money has little to do with how smart you are and a lot to do with how you behave.”

It’s a useful reminder that financial decisions are often emotional before they are rational. Understanding our own behaviour can be just as important as understanding investment markets or interest rates.

Treating Yourself Isn’t the Problem

Of course, not all discretionary spending is bad.

Enjoying experiences, treating yourself occasionally and spending money on things that genuinely improve your quality of life can be an important part of a healthy relationship with money.

The more important question is why we are spending.

Are we making conscious decisions that align with our priorities and values? Or are we spending primarily to escape feelings of stress, boredom or uncertainty?

Simply pausing to ask that question can often lead to better financial decisions.

Building Financial Confidence

One of the most effective ways to reduce financial anxiety is to create greater clarity around your finances.

Having a realistic budget, maintaining emergency savings, understanding your long-term goals and having a financial plan in place can help create a sense of control when uncertainty inevitably arises.

Financial planning cannot remove uncertainty from life. Nothing can.

What it can do is help ensure that important decisions are guided by your goals rather than your fears.

Final Thoughts

Doomspending may be a growing financial buzzword, but the behaviour behind it is as old as money itself.

Humans have always looked for ways to feel safer, happier or more in control during uncertain times. Today’s difference is simply that spending has become easier, faster and more accessible than ever before.

Understanding the psychology behind our financial decisions does not mean never treating ourselves or enjoying our money. Rather, it means recognising the difference between spending that genuinely adds value to our lives and spending that is simply an attempt to ease temporary feelings of uncertainty.

The future will always contain unknowns. The goal is not to eliminate uncertainty, but to ensure our financial decisions are driven by our priorities rather than our anxieties.

School Uniform

Giving With Confidence: Helping Family Without Compromising Your Own Future

For many grandparents, one of the greatest pleasures of later life is being able to help the next generation.

Whether it’s contributing towards a house deposit, helping with school fees, supporting grandchildren through university or simply lending a hand with everyday costs, financial support can make a meaningful difference at a time when many younger families are facing significant pressures.

In many ways, the traditional flow of wealth through generations is changing.

Rather than waiting until an inheritance is received many years in the future, more families are choosing to provide support when it can make the biggest impact today.

A Growing Role for Grandparents

The financial challenges facing younger generations are well documented.

House prices remain high, childcare costs continue to rise and many families are balancing mortgages, household bills and the increasing costs of raising children.

Against that backdrop, grandparents are often stepping in to help.

For some, that support may involve helping a grandchild onto the property ladder. For others, it could mean contributing towards school fees, paying into a Junior ISA or helping fund opportunities and experiences that may otherwise be out of reach.

For many families, this support has become an important part of financial planning across generations.

Seeing the Difference

There is another reason many people choose to give during their lifetime.

They get to see the impact.

Helping a grandchild buy their first home, supporting a child through a difficult period or contributing towards education can often feel far more tangible than leaving money behind many years in the future.

For many people, there is enormous satisfaction in knowing that their support is making a difference now.

Balancing Generosity With Financial Security

Of course, generosity should never come at the expense of your own financial wellbeing.

One of the most common mistakes people make is focusing entirely on helping family without fully considering how those gifts might affect their own long-term financial security.

Questions worth considering include:

  • Can you comfortably afford the support you’re providing?
  • Will the gift affect your retirement income?
  • Have you retained sufficient emergency savings?
  • Could future care costs affect your plans?
  • Are gifts being made in the most tax-efficient way?

These are not reasons not to help. Rather, they are reasons to plan carefully.

Making the Most of Available Allowances

Many people are surprised to discover that there are several ways of passing on wealth efficiently during their lifetime.

Annual gifting allowances, gifts from surplus income and other inheritance tax exemptions can all play a role in helping family members while potentially reducing the value of an estate for inheritance tax purposes.

The key is ensuring that gifts are structured appropriately and that good records are maintained.

A Family Conversation

Financial support is rarely just about money.

Often it is about values, opportunities and helping the next generation build confidence and security.

The most successful family wealth transfers tend to be those that are discussed openly and planned thoughtfully, ensuring expectations are clear and decisions are made with the interests of all generations in mind.

Final Thoughts

Helping children and grandchildren can be one of the most rewarding uses of wealth.

The challenge is finding the right balance, providing meaningful support to the people you care about while maintaining confidence in your own financial future.

With careful planning, it is often possible to achieve both, and for families to make informed decisions about gifting, inheritance planning and long-term financial security, ensuring generosity today does not compromise peace of mind tomorrow.

blackboard2

Why Financial Education Matters Before Your First Payslip Arrives

Do you remember receiving your first payslip?

For many people, it is an exciting milestone. But it can also be confusing. After weeks of hard work, the number arriving in your bank account often looks very different from the salary figure you expected.

Income Tax, National Insurance, pension contributions, deductions and everyday living costs are things most of us eventually learn about. The question is whether young people should have to figure it all out for themselves.

We think financial education is one of the most valuable life skills young people can develop.

Understanding how money works, from payslips and budgeting through to saving and financial decision-making, can help build confidence and lay the foundations for a stronger financial future.

Bringing Financial Education to Life

On Friday 22nd May, our Financial Adviser Andy Cox delivered a Financial Education session at The Origin Workspace in Bristol in partnership with South Bristol Youth.

Using the interactive Money Moves game, students worked together in teams to navigate a series of real-life financial scenarios. From budgeting and salaries to bills, savings, unexpected expenses and financial decision-making, the session was designed to make money management practical, engaging and relatable.

Rather than learning through textbooks or presentations, students were encouraged to experience some of the choices and trade-offs that many adults face every day.

Andy Cox said:

“Financial education is one of those subjects that becomes relevant incredibly quickly once young people leave school. The more confident they can become with money before that point, the better prepared they’ll be for the opportunities and challenges ahead.”

Building Confidence Through Practical Skills

Financial literacy is about far more than numbers.

It is about understanding choices, developing confidence and learning how small decisions can have a long-term impact.

Many adults will admit there are things they wish they had learned earlier about budgeting, saving, borrowing and managing money. Sessions like these help bridge that gap by introducing financial concepts in a way that feels accessible and relevant.

Andy added:

“One of the things that stood out was how quickly the students engaged with the scenarios. Once they could see how the decisions related to real life, the conversations and questions came naturally.”

Working Together for the Community

We are fortunate to work alongside South Bristol Youth, whose team continues to create opportunities, support and positive experiences for young people across the local community.

Their commitment to helping young people grow in confidence, develop new skills and prepare for the future makes partnerships like this incredibly valuable.

By bringing together practical financial education with engaging activities, we hope to help equip more young people with skills that will benefit them throughout their lives.

Looking Ahead

This session is part of a wider commitment offer care to our local communities and help young people build confidence around money.

As financial decisions become increasingly complex, we believe access to practical financial education has never been more important.

We look forward to continuing to develop opportunities to bring financial education into schools, colleges and youth settings across Bristol and beyond.

Slide7

Why Global Events Are Affecting Household Finances Faster Than Ever

Over recent years, global events have started to feel much closer to home financially.

Conflicts thousands of miles away, supply chain disruption, rising energy prices and geopolitical uncertainty are no longer abstract economic stories discussed only by governments and markets. Increasingly, they are showing up directly in household budgets, mortgage rates, fuel prices and everyday financial decisions.

The latest rise in UK energy bills is another example of this shift. Millions of households are expected to see higher costs following disruption to global energy supplies linked to the ongoing conflict involving Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important oil and gas shipping routes.

For many people, the speed at which these global events now affect everyday finances is striking.

From Global Headlines to Household Budgets

The UK is not directly involved in the conflict, yet households are still likely to feel the effects through higher gas and electricity prices, increased fuel costs and broader inflationary pressure.

That is because modern economies are deeply interconnected.

Energy markets, supply chains, shipping routes, interest rates and inflation expectations are now closely tied together globally. A disruption in one part of the world can quickly ripple through to businesses, lenders and consumers elsewhere.

The result is that financial shocks often arrive faster than they once did.

According to Ofgem, the average annual household energy bill is expected to rise significantly again this year as higher wholesale gas prices feed through into the UK market.

At the same time, economists continue to warn that prolonged energy disruption could keep inflation higher for longer and influence future interest rate decisions.

Why This Matters Beyond Energy Bills

Rising energy costs are only one part of the picture.

Higher inflation can gradually affect almost every area of household finances:

  • mortgage costs and borrowing rates
  • savings returns in real terms
  • food and transport prices
  • business costs and employment confidence
  • investment markets and retirement planning

We saw this clearly during the inflation spike following the war in Ukraine, and many economists believe periods of geopolitical instability may become more frequent rather than less.

In practical terms, this means financial planning increasingly needs to account for uncertainty, not just stability.

The Importance of Financial Resilience

During periods like this, reacting emotionally to headlines is rarely the answer.

But these moments do serve as an important reminder of the value of financial resilience.

That resilience can look different for different people. For some, it may mean reviewing household spending or building emergency savings. For others, it could involve revisiting mortgage arrangements, protection planning, retirement income or longer-term investment strategy.

Importantly, resilience is not about predicting every global event correctly. Very few people can.

It is about creating plans that are flexible enough to cope with uncertainty when it arrives.

A More Uncertain World Requires Longer-Term Thinking

One of the challenges of modern news cycles is that they encourage short-term thinking. Markets move quickly, headlines change daily and uncertainty can easily create anxiety.

Yet history repeatedly shows that financial decisions made purely in reaction to periods of fear or volatility are often not the most effective ones.

Long-term financial planning has always involved navigating uncertainty in one form or another. What has changed is the speed at which global events now feed into everyday life.

That makes clear thinking, perspective and adaptable planning more valuable than ever.

At Digby Associates, we believe good financial advice should provide reassurance as well as strategy, helping people make considered decisions even during periods of uncertainty and change.